Entry Strategy With Fibonacci

One effective strategy for identifying optimal entry points for short trades is based on the concept of trading within a range and utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels. This method combines both technical analysis and key price levels to determine the most strategic points for entering a short position. To begin, it’s important to define the trading range in which the price is moving. The “top” of the range represents the highest price level that the asset has reached within a given period, while the “bottom” of the range represents the lowest price level within that same period. This range is significant because it provides a framework for understanding how price is likely to move between these boundaries. Now, once the price has made a move within this range, applying Fibonacci retracement levels becomes useful. When you measure the entire price movement within the range, you will notice key levels emerge, particularly the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. These levels are crucial because they represent points where the price often pulls back before resuming its original trend. The area between the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci levels is known as the “optimal trade entry” (OTE) zone. This zone is where price corrections within the range are most likely to occur before the price either continues its downward trend or consolidates. It is here that traders often find the most favorable entries for short trades, as the price is likely to reverse after reaching this point. However, Fibonacci retracement alone is not enough to make a fully informed decision. You must also confirm that other technical factors, such as resistance levels, align with this optimal entry zone. For example, if there is a significant resistance level coinciding with the 61.8% retracement, this can provide additional confidence that the price will fail to break through and will likely drop back toward the bottom of the range. Once the price reaches the optimal trade entry level and other indicators, such as resistance, confirm the likelihood of a reversal, you can initiate your short trade. The target for this trade would typically be the bottom of the trading range, as this is the point where the price is likely to find support once it moves down from the OTE zone. This strategy combines Fibonacci analysis with key resistance levels and range-bound trading to provide a systematic approach to short trades. By identifying optimal entry points and aligning them with broader market conditions, traders can increase their chances of success in executing profitable short positions.

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Comments

  • Hannah Martinez
    August 17, 2018

    How often do you find prices hit the OTE zone for solid short entries?

    • Judith Bell
      August 17, 2018

      Great breakdown of Fibonacci retracements! I didn’t realize the importance of the 61.8% to 78.6% zone for entries.

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